By Jenny Holly Hansen | WBN News | May 23, 2025

In times of economic uncertainty, instinct and optimism alone aren’t enough to steer a business through stormy waters. What truly makes the difference is clarity—and that clarity comes from tracking the right metrics. When every dollar matters and margins are tighter, knowing exactly what’s working (and what’s not) allows you to adapt with precision instead of panic.

Here’s how I think about it: in a recession, you don’t need more data—you need better data. Let’s walk through the core business metrics that offer the most insight when you’re recession-proofing your operation.

1. Cash Flow: The Lifeline Metric

In tough times, cash is king. It’s not just about revenue—it’s about when and how money enters and exits your business. Tracking cash flow gives you real-time visibility into whether you can pay bills, meet payroll, and survive longer sales cycles.

What to watch:

  • Net cash flow (inflows vs. outflows)
  • Days sales outstanding (DSO)
  • Burn rate (especially for startups)

Even if your Profit & Loss Statement looks good, poor cash flow can sneak up on you. This is the first metric I recommend checking weekly, not monthly.

2. Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)

When every lead is more expensive to convert and every customer is thinking twice, you need to know exactly what it costs to acquire them.

Why it matters: If your CAC rises while sales drop, you're burning through cash with little return. Look for ways to reduce CAC—through referrals, better targeting, or lower-cost channels—without sacrificing quality leads.

3. Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV)

Paired with CAC, your customer lifetime value helps you determine if your marketing and sales strategies are sustainable. CLTV tells you:

  • How long customers typically stay
  • How much they spend over time
  • Whether your business can thrive over the long haul

Focus on increasing CLTV through upselling, retention programs, or bundling services. It’s much cheaper to keep a client than find a new one.

4. Gross Margin

In recessions, profit often matters more than growth. Gross margin helps you see what’s left after direct costs—before overhead, salaries, and other fixed expenses.

A falling gross margin signals:

  • Rising production or delivery costs
  • Discounting pressures
  • Inefficient pricing or vendor relationships

Knowing your gross margin by product or service line can guide smarter decisions about what to cut, keep, or double down on.

5. Revenue per Employee

As businesses run leaner, productivity per person becomes essential. Revenue per employee helps you assess whether your team is scaled correctly for your revenue level.

If this number drops, it may mean you’re overstaffed—or that workflows, tools, or priorities need adjusting. It’s a valuable guide for right-sizing operations without risking burnout.

6. Churn Rate

Losing clients during a downturn is painful. If your churn rate climbs, that’s a red flag. High churn can signal:

  • Declining value perception
  • Gaps in customer support
  • A lack of product-market fit

Use this metric to drive retention efforts, check in with existing customers, and show them the ROI of staying with you.

7. Break-Even Point

Knowing how much revenue you need just to cover your costs is crucial in a tight market. Your break-even point helps you assess risk before launching something new or adjusting pricing.

If you’re operating below this line, decisions around cost cutting, price increases, or customer acquisition need to be fast and informed.

Final Thoughts: Metrics Are Your Map, Not Just Your Report Card

Metrics won’t make the hard times go away—but they’ll make your responses smarter. The key is not to overwhelm yourself with vanity numbers or noise. Focus on the data that reveals resilience, efficiency, and long-term potential.

When times are good, metrics help you grow. When times are tough, they help you survive—and sometimes, that’s where your next big opportunity is hiding.

If you'd like a template or dashboard to track these in one place, I’d be happy to share one with you. Let’s recession-proof with purpose.

Let’s Keep Talking:

Jenny is a business insurance broker with Waypoint Insurance. With 19 years experience, she will well versed in the technical aspects of business coverages.

She can be reached at 604-317-6755 or jholly-hansen@wbnn.news. Connect with Jenny on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/jenny-holly-hansen-365b691b/.  Connect with Jenny at BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/jennyhollyhansen.bsky.social

Let’s Meet Up:

Jenny Holly Hansen is a cohost with Chris Sturges of the Langley Impact Networking Group. You are welcome to join us on Thursday’s from 4pm to 6pm at: Sidebar Bar and Grill: 100b - 20018 83A Avenue, Langley, BC V2Y 3R4

TAGS:  #Jenny Holly Hansen #Recession-Proof #Cash Flow #Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) #Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV) #Gross Margin #Revenue per Employee #Churn Rate #Break-Even Point

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