
By Troy Tyrell | WBN News Vancouver | August 15, 2025
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VANCOUVER — August 15, 2025 — Canada Post and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) are heading into a critical stretch of negotiations that could determine whether the country’s postal system faces another round of disruptive job action.
While no full strike has been declared, the overtime ban that has been in place since May has already slowed delivery times in some regions, and industry watchers warn that the next few days could be decisive.
Talks Resume After Contract Rejection
In June 2025, CUPW members rejected what Canada Post described as its “best and final” contract offer. It was a four-year package worth roughly 13% in wage increases, along with structural changes that included more part-time positions. Union leadership said the proposal failed to address core concerns such as workload, job security, and the pace of change in postal operations.
This week, the two sides reconvened at the bargaining table with federal mediators. Negotiations were held on August 13 and August 15, with more talks set for Monday. CUPW has not ruled out escalating to rotating strikes or a full work stoppage if progress stalls.
Economic Stakes Are High
Canada Post delivers billions of items annually, including everything from e-commerce orders to government cheques. The postal network is particularly vital in rural and remote communities where private courier services are limited or cost-prohibitive.
Small businesses, already strained by economic headwinds and increased operating costs, could see immediate impacts if service interruptions expand. Many are pre-emptively shifting to private carriers such as UPS, Purolator, and FedEx, despite higher shipping rates.
The 2024 strike caused millions in lost sales for Canadian SMEs, according to trade group estimates, and some of those losses were never recovered.
The Case for AI-Driven Automation and Workforce Shift
Labour unrest aside, many industry analysts argue that Canada Post’s long-term sustainability depends on modernizing operations through automation and AI, combined with a strategic shift in workforce composition.
AI-powered logistics could:
- Optimize sorting and routing in real time to reduce delays.
- Predict package volumes based on historical trends and seasonal spikes, allowing for better staffing and resource allocation.
- Automate customer service for common tracking and delivery queries, freeing up human staff for higher-priority issues.
- Integrate dynamic scheduling to match workforce levels to demand without excessive overtime.
A growing school of thought in the logistics sector suggests reducing reliance on heavily unionized operational roles in favor of employees who are skilled in managing, training, and directing AI systems. These “AI supervisors” could ensure that automation runs efficiently, troubleshoot issues, and oversee productivity without the need for large bargaining units capable of halting the network during disputes.
Proponents argue that this transition would improve efficiency, lower operational costs, and make the postal network more resilient to work stoppages, while creating opportunities for tech-focused job growth within the organization.
Potential Disruption Timeline
- Overtime Ban: Active since May 2025, already causing slower processing in some depots.
- Mediated Talks: Continuing through early next week.
- Strike Risk: Rotating strikes or full stoppage could be called with 72 hours’ notice if talks break down.
- Government Intervention: Ottawa could appoint a special mediator or, in extreme cases, impose back-to-work legislation. Such moves are politically charged and typically last-resort.
Impact on Canadians
If CUPW escalates job action:
- Mail Delays: Expect longer wait times for lettermail and parcels, especially in rural areas.
- Cheque Delivery: Government benefits and tax refunds could be delayed unless recipients switch to direct deposit.
- E-Commerce Slowdowns: Retailers reliant on Canada Post could see shipping times double, affecting customer satisfaction and sales.
Advice for Households and Businesses
- Set up direct deposit for any government or employer cheques.
- Register for CRA and Service Canada online accounts to receive notices electronically.
- Switch time-sensitive shipments to private couriers or local delivery services where possible.
- Communicate with customers early about potential delays to manage expectations.
What’s Next?
The outcome of this latest round of mediation could set the tone for Canada Post’s labour relations for years to come. CUPW insists it is fighting not only for wages, but for working conditions in a rapidly evolving postal landscape. Canada Post counters that modernization, including automation, AI, and a shift toward tech-enabled roles, is essential to remain competitive, cut reliance on strike-prone bargaining units, and deliver services Canadians can count on.
For now, Canadians are watching, and waiting, as the clock ticks toward a possible strike.
Sources:
Global News, Reuters, Canadian Underwriter, Canada.ca – Service Canada
By Troy Tyrell, Founder of Tsquared Personal Training
WBN Contributor | Community Builder | Mountain Biker | Advocate for Local Business & Fitness
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